The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper offers additional insights on the interactions between economics and politics in Portugal. We use an unexplored data set consisting of monthly polls on vote intentions for the main political parties in Portugal, since 1986. Results indicate that: (1) socialist governments had less electoral support than social democratic governments; (2) social democratic governments enjoyed a honeymoon period with the electorate while socialist governments did not; (3) vote intentions for incumbent parties tend to decrease with time in office; (4) voters hold incumbents responsible for the evolution of the economy; (5) the socialists are more penalized for rises in unemployment than are the social democrats. JEL classification: H80, E31, E60
منابع مشابه
Moral and Religious Convictions and Intentions to Vote in the 2008 Presidential Election
The current research investigated whether people’s issue-specific moral and religious convictions had distinct or redundant effects on their intentions to vote in the 2008 presidential election. Participants reported their levels of moral and religious conviction about the issue that they perceived as most important to the 2008 presidential election and their intentions to vote. Results indicat...
متن کاملGovernment instability shifts skin tone representations of and intentions to vote for political candidates.
Does government stability shift the way White and Black Americans represent and make voting decisions about political candidates? Participants judged how representative lightened, darkened, and unaltered photographs were of a racially ambiguous candidate ostensibly running for political office (Studies 1-3). When the governmental system was presented as stable, White participants who shared (vs...
متن کاملActing on the Intent to Vote : A Voter Turnout Experiment
Theories of voter turnout have focused almost exclusively on the costs and benefits of voting, even though one potentially important aspect of turnout is what takes place after a citizen has decided she intends to vote but before she arrives at the polls. I test two social psychology theories affecting this process: self-prophecy and implementation intentions. The self-prophecy effect occurs wh...
متن کاملSubstitutes or Complements? Diagnosis and Treatment with non-Conventional and Conventional Medicine
Background Portugal has a strong tradition of conventional western healthcare. So it provides a natural case study for the relationship between Complementary/Alternative Medicine (CAM) and Western Medicine (WM). This work aims to test the relationship between CAM and WM users in the diagnosis and treatment stages and to estimate the determinants of CAM choice. Methods The forth Portuguese Nat...
متن کاملThe Intentionality of Intention and Action
Cognitive Science is likely to make little progress in the study of humon behovior until we hove o clear account of what o humon action is. The aim of this paper is to present a sketch of a theory of action. I will locate the relation of intention to action within a general theory of Intentionality. I will introduce o distinction between prior intentions and intentions in actions; the concept o...
متن کامل